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Red32
421912.2
542718.5
905410.3
Blue49
93117.6
288123.7
86108.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48350204060803249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
18.51.4
17.616.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 5.2
23.70.7
19.620.3
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Second
4219
#19
12.21.4
13.011.6
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 4.2
8610
#13
8.00.7
6.97.6
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Third
9054
#31
10.31.1
11.410.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 2.7
9311
#27
7.60.7
6.97.6
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed