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Red47
71385.0
95248.6
857314.9
Blue43
96645.5
811411.5
421912.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2730010204050604743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8573
#12
14.91.2
13.414.5
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 2.7
4219
#19
12.20.8
11.612.4
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Second
9524
#35
8.61.2
7.58.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 2.9
8114
#28
11.50.7
10.411.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Third
7138
#38
5.01.2
3.95.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
blue by 0.4
9664
#41
5.50.7
4.75.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed