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Red107
510314.0
62428.2
147733.7
Blue60
572612.1
857314.9
303513.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8637020608010012014010760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.3
32.532.8
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
red by 18.7
8573
#12
14.90.4
14.514.9
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Second
624
#3
28.20.3
27.027.3
Auto10.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 14.9
3035
#16
13.30.4
12.913.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
5103
#24
14.00.3
12.813.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.3
End1.3
red by 1.9
5726
#23
12.10.4
11.712.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.5