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Red54
284816.5
246835.0
93117.3
Blue13
55037.5
69745.9
95333.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462801020405060705413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.6
23.024.6
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
red by 27.6
5503
#29
7.51.6
7.35.8
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Second
16.51.6
11.413.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 10.6
6974
#39
5.91.6
7.25.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
9311
#35
7.31.6
5.26.8
Auto5.6
Teleop0.7
End0.9
red by 3.4
9533
#30
3.91.6
12.811.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed