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Red55
69745.9
284816.5
331026.9
Blue49
246835.0
215812.7
55037.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4346304050605549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.7
20.922.6
Auto11.9
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 8.1
35.00.3
24.624.3
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
Second
16.51.7
13.014.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 3.8
2158
#16
12.70.3
11.110.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
Third
6974
#39
5.91.7
5.67.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
blue by 1.5
5503
#29
7.50.3
5.85.5
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned