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Red70
288113.9
637720.4
808819.9
Blue27
268912.1
69745.9
71258.4
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46260102030405060707027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.42.9
13.916.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 8.3
2689
#10
12.10.5
11.410.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Second
19.92.9
13.416.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
red by 11.5
7125
#28
8.40.5
7.46.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Third
2881
#27
13.92.9
11.614.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 8.0
6974
#39
5.90.5
7.36.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed