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Red49
246835.0
288113.9
37437.6
Blue77
908812.9
215812.7
268717.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653202040801001204977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.6
31.029.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
red by 17.4
2687
#13
17.62.1
14.516.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
2881
#27
13.91.7
15.313.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 1.1
9088
#19
12.92.0
6.98.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
3743
#22
7.61.6
8.46.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 5.0
2158
#16
12.72.0
11.313.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned26%Ensemble oddsEarned