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Red62
637720.4
88749.3
271423.4
Blue33
69745.9
11649.6
852810.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51260102030406070806233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.5
17.118.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 12.7
8528
#17
10.80.2
8.99.1
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Second
20.41.5
16.818.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 10.9
1164
#14
9.60.2
9.810.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Third
8874
#12
9.31.5
8.910.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 3.4
6974
#39
5.90.2
7.57.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed