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Red70
808819.9
52129.5
908812.9
Blue51
271423.4
56135.0
331026.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326002040807051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.93.4
17.721.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
blue by 7.0
26.91.6
25.824.3
Auto11.9
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Second
9088
#19
12.93.4
8.912.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 10.6
23.41.4
18.617.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Third
5212
#34
9.53.4
5.99.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
red by 4.5
5613
#32
5.01.4
6.65.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed