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Red50
47349.2
268717.6
268912.1
Blue26
348113.0
27894.8
69745.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43250102030506070805026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#13
17.60.3
16.616.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 4.6
3481
#23
13.00.1
13.413.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Second
2689
#10
12.10.3
12.012.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 6.2
6974
#39
5.90.1
7.77.8
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Third
4734
#26
9.20.3
8.28.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
red by 4.4
2789
#36
4.80.1
3.73.8
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed