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Red15
58669.6
96559.8
215812.7
Blue42
71258.4
174513.0
38029.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393502060801001201542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#16
12.71.9
13.311.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
blue by 0.3
1745
#25
13.00.3
12.212.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Second
9655
#31
9.82.0
9.97.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End0.7
blue by 0.1
3802
#18
9.90.3
9.49.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Third
5866
#21
9.61.9
11.29.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 1.3
7125
#28
8.40.3
10.110.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed