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Red22
38029.9
88749.3
284816.5
Blue10
88427.1
852810.8
215812.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443910203050602210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.9
15.113.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 3.8
2158
#16
12.72.9
16.413.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
Second
3802
#18
9.91.9
13.611.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 0.9
8528
#17
10.82.9
10.98.0
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Third
8874
#12
9.31.9
10.88.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 2.2
8842
#15
7.12.9
8.85.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed