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Red13
215812.7
71258.4
95333.9
Blue18
11649.6
29505.5
47349.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3129010204050601318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#16
12.71.8
11.49.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
red by 3.1
1164
#14
9.61.0
10.19.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Second
7125
#28
8.41.8
10.48.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 0.8
4734
#26
9.20.9
8.57.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Third
9533
#30
3.91.8
5.63.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 1.6
2950
#33
5.50.9
7.76.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed