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Red51
852810.8
246835.0
38029.9
Blue26
680025.7
268912.1
59864.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62452040801005126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
32.632.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
red by 9.3
25.71.4
25.624.2
Auto10.1
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Second
8528
#17
10.80.3
12.011.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 1.4
2689
#10
12.11.4
11.410.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
3802
#18
9.90.3
9.89.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 5.2
5986
#38
4.71.4
6.04.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed