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Red43
215812.7
284816.5
27894.8
Blue20
96559.8
71258.4
37437.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29310204060804320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.0
13.414.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 6.7
9655
#31
9.80.7
11.010.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End0.7
Second
2158
#16
12.71.0
9.610.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
red by 4.3
7125
#28
8.40.6
8.68.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Third
2789
#36
4.81.0
3.74.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 2.8
3743
#22
7.60.6
8.07.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed