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Red44
271423.4
47349.2
95333.9
Blue35
174513.0
908812.9
11649.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34371020305060704435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.0
20.021.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 10.4
1745
#25
13.00.1
12.712.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Second
4734
#26
9.21.0
7.68.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 3.7
9088
#19
12.90.1
11.711.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
9533
#30
3.91.0
3.74.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 5.7
1164
#14
9.60.1
9.19.3
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed