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Red31
268717.6
58669.6
59864.7
Blue50
215812.7
56135.0
680025.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32450102040506070803150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#13
17.60.0
16.416.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 8.1
25.70.8
24.225.0
Auto10.1
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Second
5866
#21
9.60.0
9.69.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.7
blue by 3.1
2158
#16
12.70.8
10.611.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
Third
5986
#38
4.70.0
4.64.7
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 0.3
5613
#32
5.00.8
4.15.0
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed