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Red40
38029.9
284816.5
268912.1
Blue72
52129.5
271423.4
268717.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41552060801004072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
blue by 6.9
23.40.3
22.622.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Second
2689
#10
12.10.0
12.112.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 5.5
2687
#13
17.60.3
16.717.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
3802
#18
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 0.4
5212
#34
9.50.3
8.68.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6