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Red60
680025.7
93117.3
637720.4
Blue68
52129.5
271423.4
268717.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5955203040507080901006068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto10.1
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 2.3
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
Second
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 2.8
2687
#13
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9311
#35
7.30.0
7.27.3
Auto5.6
Teleop0.7
End0.9
blue by 2.2
5212
#34
9.50.0
9.49.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6