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Red58
33746.8
324523.7
742629.5
Blue68
585117.5
133920.5
141022.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67673040506080901001105868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.1
29.629.5
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 7.3
22.20.2
22.322.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
3245
#12
23.70.1
23.823.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 3.2
20.50.2
20.720.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Third
3374
#44
6.80.1
6.96.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
blue by 10.7
5851
#17
17.50.2
17.717.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7