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Red26
320012.9
80877.9
494413.4
Blue16
593311.2
94233.7
1597.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403310203050602616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#25
13.42.4
13.711.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8
red by 2.1
5933
#16
11.21.7
11.19.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Second
3200
#32
12.92.4
11.49.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
red by 5.2
159
#34
7.61.6
10.68.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
8087
#22
7.92.4
10.27.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 4.2
9423
#45
3.73.8
3.77.5
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed