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Red56
189111.4
789511.9
406826.7
Blue42
212224.6
224025.3
320012.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801001205642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.72.3
14.616.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 1.4
25.31.6
20.018.3
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Second
7895
#15
11.92.3
9.712.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 12.7
24.61.6
17.816.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Third
1891
#33
11.42.3
11.213.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 1.5
3200
#32
12.91.6
9.07.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed