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Red62
324523.7
340511.2
31667.8
Blue49
743618.1
94233.7
189111.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293410204050606249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.72.6
9.512.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 5.7
7436
#19
18.10.5
9.29.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Second
3405
#23
11.22.6
11.614.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 0.2
1891
#33
11.40.5
13.914.3
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
3166
#31
7.82.6
6.18.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 4.1
9423
#45
3.70.5
6.87.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned