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Red49
903713.2
324523.7
81745.4
Blue60
656023.1
418313.6
789511.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304701020406070804960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.70.5
12.112.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 0.7
23.10.7
18.218.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
9037
#21
13.20.5
12.012.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
blue by 0.4
4183
#40
13.60.7
9.710.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
8174
#38
5.40.5
5.45.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 6.5
7895
#15
11.90.7
12.913.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed