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Red7
90445.1
1597.6
64115.3
Blue93
212224.6
406826.7
585117.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17670406080100793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#34
7.61.6
9.07.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 19.1
26.72.6
20.623.2
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
6411
#42
5.31.6
5.23.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.6
blue by 19.3
24.62.6
20.823.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Third
9044
#36
5.11.6
6.75.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 12.4
5851
#17
17.52.6
13.115.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed