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Red55
91388.3
300620.3
224025.3
Blue19
31667.8
300914.3
64008.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43351020305060705519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.4
20.521.9
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
red by 11.0
3009
#11
14.32.6
12.610.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Second
20.31.4
13.414.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 12.1
6400
#29
8.22.6
11.58.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
9138
#20
8.31.4
4.05.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End0.9
red by 0.4
3166
#31
7.82.6
8.66.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned