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Red32
141022.2
81745.4
80877.9
Blue28
182812.7
33746.8
88852.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3728010205060703228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
19.419.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 9.4
1828
#30
12.71.0
12.611.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Second
8087
#22
7.90.2
6.05.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 1.0
3374
#44
6.81.0
8.06.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
Third
8174
#38
5.40.2
6.76.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
red by 2.9
8885
#37
2.61.0
5.44.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed