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Red30
459816.6
189111.4
76348.4
Blue8
50718.6
64115.3
32433.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4815010203040607080308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#10
16.61.0
14.613.7
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 8.0
5071
#39
8.61.0
7.36.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Second
1891
#33
11.41.0
13.612.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 6.1
6411
#42
5.31.0
4.13.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Third
7634
#24
8.41.0
10.910.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.1
End2.6
red by 5.2
3243
#43
3.21.0
5.95.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed