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Red32
43485.8
300914.3
320012.9
Blue75
406826.7
31667.8
300620.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30530204060803275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#11
14.30.2
10.410.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 12.4
26.71.0
24.425.4
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
3200
#32
12.90.2
10.510.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 7.5
20.31.0
16.417.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
4348
#27
5.80.2
9.29.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3166
#31
7.81.0
4.85.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned