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Red90
324523.7
350118.5
656023.1
Blue34
90445.1
320012.9
64008.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5823040809034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.73.5
16.119.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 10.9
3200
#32
12.90.4
10.711.1
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Second
23.13.5
18.922.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 14.9
6400
#29
8.20.4
9.810.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
18.53.5
13.517.0
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 13.4
9044
#36
5.10.4
4.44.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed