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Red16
32887.0
161913.6
43485.8
Blue51
81745.4
91388.3
406826.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404102060801651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#14
13.62.1
17.115.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
blue by 13.1
26.71.3
25.426.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
3288
#28
7.02.0
9.87.9
Auto6.1
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 1.2
9138
#20
8.31.3
5.26.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Third
4348
#27
5.82.0
9.47.5
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
8174
#38
5.41.3
6.57.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed