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Red34
320012.9
79066.9
33746.8
Blue39
91388.3
133920.5
212224.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063040801003439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#32
12.90.6
11.111.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 11.7
24.61.1
24.323.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Second
7906
#35
6.90.6
6.67.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 13.7
20.51.1
20.819.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Third
3374
#44
6.80.6
5.35.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
blue by 1.4
9138
#20
8.31.1
6.65.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed