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Red58
141022.2
161913.6
25948.0
Blue45
350118.5
50718.6
459816.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474730405060705845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
21.221.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 3.7
18.50.2
17.717.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
1619
#14
13.60.3
13.513.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
blue by 3.0
4598
#10
16.60.2
16.316.5
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Third
2594
#13
8.00.3
7.67.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End0.2
blue by 0.6
5071
#39
8.60.2
8.48.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed