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Red58
350118.5
656023.1
883913.8
Blue74
585117.5
133920.5
141022.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60682040801005874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.1
23.023.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 0.9
22.20.1
22.322.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 2.0
20.50.1
20.720.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Third
8839
#26
13.80.1
13.713.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
blue by 3.8
5851
#17
17.50.1
17.717.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7