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Red51
141022.2
585117.5
133920.5
Blue55
300914.3
494413.4
300620.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6651203040607080905155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
21.421.3
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 1.8
20.30.0
20.320.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
20.50.2
19.919.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
red by 6.3
3009
#11
14.30.1
14.314.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
5851
#17
17.50.2
16.816.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 4.2
4944
#25
13.40.0
13.413.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8