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Red36
37936.9
68622.8
20689.5
Blue34
44933.2
62313.9
90335.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488502040601001201401603634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#18
22.80.8
27.827.0
Auto11.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
blue by 10.3
449
#8
33.22.7
42.039.3
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
2068
#17
9.50.8
12.511.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 4.3
623
#22
13.92.7
20.317.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
Third
3793
#28
6.90.8
7.46.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.7
red by 0.9
9033
#27
5.92.7
10.57.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed