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Red104
83634.2
859227.7
58309.9
Blue58
42228.8
37936.9
219914.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8155010015010458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
34.20.4
35.736.1
Auto13.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
red by 5.4
422
#5
28.80.7
30.730.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.5
Second
8592
#11
27.70.4
26.126.5
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
red by 12.7
2199
#21
14.90.7
16.115.5
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
5830
#14
9.90.4
8.58.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End1.9
red by 3.1
3793
#28
6.90.7
6.05.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed