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Red47
99985.2
859227.7
138910.6
Blue48
83634.2
90335.9
907221.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447801001504748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#11
27.70.2
26.526.7
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
blue by 6.6
836
#1
34.21.2
36.134.9
Auto13.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
Second
1389
#26
10.60.2
11.411.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 10.4
9072
#20
21.01.2
23.222.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End-1.0
Third
9998
#16
5.20.4
5.76.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 0.7
9033
#27
5.91.2
7.15.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed