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Red56
237719.2
44933.2
138910.6
Blue88
61419.1
859227.7
62313.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686840506080905688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#8
33.20.2
33.333.2
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
red by 5.5
8592
#11
27.70.6
27.227.8
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
Second
19.20.2
19.419.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.0
End4.1
red by 0.1
614
#13
19.10.6
18.719.3
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Third
1389
#26
10.60.2
10.710.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 3.3
623
#22
13.90.6
13.414.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9