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Red44
237719.2
44933.2
138910.6
Blue78
218615.4
68622.8
20689.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774902040601001201404478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#8
33.20.5
34.333.7
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
red by 10.3
686
#18
22.80.4
22.623.0
Auto11.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Second
19.20.5
20.319.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.0
End4.1
red by 3.8
15.40.4
15.215.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Third
1389
#26
10.60.5
11.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End1.1
red by 1.0
2068
#17
9.50.4
9.39.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0