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Red84
45759.5
999919.2
533829.4
Blue37
62022.1
210624.7
18854.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595730405070808437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.7
28.429.1
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End2.8
red by 4.7
2106
#10
24.70.5
25.625.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.0
End1.4
Second
19.21.1
17.518.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.2
End0.4
blue by 2.9
620
#12
22.10.5
23.022.5
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
4575
#19
9.50.7
8.59.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 5.5
1885
#24
4.00.5
4.94.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.4