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Red82
62313.9
859227.7
61419.1
Blue32
62022.1
210624.7
18854.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801008232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#11
27.70.5
26.627.1
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
red by 3.0
2106
#10
24.70.4
25.124.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.0
End1.4
Second
614
#13
19.10.5
18.118.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End1.5
blue by 3.0
620
#12
22.10.4
22.522.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
623
#22
13.90.5
12.813.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
red by 9.9
1885
#24
4.00.4
4.44.0
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.4