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Red25
29987.9
189518.5
33910.7
Blue50
25348.9
832613.4
5403.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41250102030506070802550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.1
14.113.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End0.2
red by 5.1
13.40.6
8.69.3
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Second
339
#17
10.71.1
9.48.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 1.8
2534
#12
8.90.6
8.38.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Third
2998
#24
7.91.1
11.410.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
red by 4.5
540
#16
3.40.6
7.48.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned