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Red37
409917.0
33910.7
337311.9
Blue83
173133.6
53915.9
832613.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34490204060803783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.5
16.917.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 16.6
33.63.4
23.226.6
Auto15.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
3373
#23
11.90.5
7.47.9
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 3.9
539
#9
15.93.4
10.013.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
339
#17
10.70.5
8.38.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 2.6
13.43.4
9.312.7
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned