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Red18
62014.0
42862.4
6125.8
Blue43
42218.1
337311.9
45056.4
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633010203040501843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#10
14.00.7
12.411.7
Auto2.3
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 4.1
422
#2
18.10.4
15.816.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.3
End0.6
Second
612
#27
5.80.7
8.78.0
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 6.1
3373
#23
11.90.4
7.98.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
4286
#29
2.40.7
3.32.6
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 4.0
4505
#21
6.40.4
5.35.7
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed