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Red58
832613.4
859218.8
313617.3
Blue88
68638.1
173133.6
189518.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5054203040607080901005888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#13
18.81.4
17.218.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
blue by 14.8
33.64.4
26.631.0
Auto15.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
17.31.4
15.516.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
blue by 1.1
18.54.4
14.118.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End0.2
Third
13.41.4
12.714.1
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 5.3
6863
#11
8.14.4
7.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed