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Red10
42862.4
5403.4
25348.9
Blue46
313617.3
6125.8
409917.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284901020406070801046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#12
8.92.0
8.96.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 8.4
17.30.6
14.313.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Second
540
#16
3.42.0
9.57.5
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 13.6
17.00.6
15.715.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Third
4286
#29
2.42.0
9.67.6
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 3.4
612
#27
5.80.6
11.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed