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Red24
33910.7
6125.8
210612.8
Blue30
24215.2
313617.3
59546.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3231010204050602430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#14
12.80.5
13.012.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
blue by 4.5
17.30.2
16.817.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Second
339
#17
10.70.5
9.99.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 4.1
5954
#28
6.60.2
4.64.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
612
#27
5.80.5
5.85.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 0.6
2421
#26
5.20.2
6.46.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed