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Red40
15225.3
409917.0
68638.1
Blue33
59546.6
219916.0
45056.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342801020405060704033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.01.0
15.416.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 1.1
2199
#18
16.00.2
15.715.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Second
6863
#11
8.11.0
9.710.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
red by 1.4
5954
#28
6.60.2
4.95.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
1522
#25
5.31.0
5.36.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 1.1
4505
#21
6.40.2
5.75.9
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed