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Red34
85908.2
409917.0
832613.4
Blue27
68638.1
210612.8
159915.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43422025303540455055603427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.4
16.416.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 2.0
15.11.3
14.813.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Second
13.40.4
12.812.4
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 0.6
2106
#14
12.81.3
12.911.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Third
8590
#15
8.20.4
9.08.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 0.1
6863
#11
8.11.3
10.79.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed